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Red105
31940.9
405537.8
151951.9
Blue104
346738.6
107320.2
23841.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14198050200250300350400105104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 10.9
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
319
Unranked
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
red by 2.2
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Third
4055
Unranked
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
red by 17.6
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
82%Capture odds33%Capture odds