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Red84
17228.9
172120.5
105845.8
Blue100
107320.2
151951.9
264838.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93118020030040084100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
Unranked
45.80.0
45.845.8
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
blue by 6.1
1519
Unranked
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
Second
172
Unranked
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End4.2
blue by 9.3
2648
Unranked
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Third
1721
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End3.9
red by 0.3
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds17%Capture odds