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Red77
50125.5
105631.0
405537.8
Blue144
454632.3
13135.4
581346.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94121020030040077144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
Unranked
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
blue by 8.2
5813
Unranked
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
1056
Unranked
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End9.0
blue by 4.4
131
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
Third
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
blue by 6.8
4546
Unranked
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds16%Capture odds