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Red100
555631.2
456526.1
32015.6
Blue117
456450.8
346738.6
490634.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64139050100200250300100117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
blue by 19.6
4564
Unranked
50.80.0
50.850.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.1
End11.7
Second
4565
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto7.0
Teleop14.4
End4.6
blue by 12.6
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Third
320
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 18.8
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds26%Capture odds