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Red90
5821.4
346738.6
264838.2
Blue102
492520.5
50125.5
13135.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068005015020090102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
red by 3.2
131
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
Second
2648
Unranked
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
red by 12.7
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Third
58
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End4.2
red by 0.9
4925
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto1.9
Teleop14.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
18%Capture odds1%Capture odds