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Red97
581346.0
555631.2
17228.9
Blue101
31940.9
172928.8
88529.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111005015020097101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
Unranked
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 5.1
319
Unranked
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
Second
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 2.3
885
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
Third
172
Unranked
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End4.2
red by 0.1
1729
Unranked
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
23%Capture odds32%Capture odds