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Red139
581336.1
490932.7
13829.7
Blue120
596228.6
287632.2
454628.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410950100150200139120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#14
36.10.4
35.035.4
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 3.9
32.20.1
32.332.4
Auto10.4
Teleop17.5
End4.4
Second
32.70.4
31.532.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End4.7
red by 4.1
5962
#11
28.60.1
28.628.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Third
138
#15
29.70.4
28.629.0
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
red by 1.3
4546
#19
28.40.1
28.428.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4