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Red133
115334.0
237035.1
9525.0
Blue117
183126.9
13137.9
50125.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410750150200133117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.2
35.635.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End4.5
blue by 2.8
131
#4
37.90.2
37.737.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
Second
34.00.2
34.634.4
Auto10.2
Teleop17.9
End5.9
red by 7.1
1831
#22
26.90.2
26.726.9
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End5.1
Third
95
#31
25.00.2
25.625.4
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End3.3
blue by 0.5
501
#20
25.50.2
25.325.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4