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Red57
581336.1
492925.7
172120.5
Blue87
23727.6
124718.7
454628.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73500204060801001205787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#14
36.10.7
28.227.5
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 7.7
4546
#19
28.43.8
16.219.9
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
4929
#16
25.70.7
23.322.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
blue by 1.8
237
#17
27.62.5
20.923.4
Auto9.8
Teleop12.8
End4.9
Third
1721
#28
20.50.7
16.015.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End3.9
red by 1.8
1247
#32
18.72.3
16.218.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed