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Red82
234221.4
50125.5
31938.5
Blue99
115334.0
596228.6
21324.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83772040601001201408299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
38.50.5
33.433.8
Auto6.5
Teleop24.4
End7.6
red by 4.5
34.01.5
27.228.6
Auto10.2
Teleop17.9
End5.9
Second
501
#20
25.50.5
22.923.4
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
blue by 3.1
5962
#11
28.61.5
21.122.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Third
2342
#13
21.40.5
18.619.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End3.1
blue by 2.7
213
#21
24.11.5
24.025.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed