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Red125
287632.2
346617.2
151942.6
Blue83
183126.9
332321.5
88528.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79765060709010011012012583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.62.8
31.133.9
Auto14.9
Teleop22.9
End4.8
red by 13.8
885
#10
28.80.5
28.327.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.7
End4.3
Second
32.21.9
26.428.3
Auto10.4
Teleop17.5
End4.4
red by 5.4
1831
#22
26.90.5
29.228.7
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End5.1
Third
3466
#30
17.23.2
13.616.8
Auto6.5
Teleop6.4
End4.2
blue by 4.3
3323
#25
21.50.5
18.117.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed