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Red76
172120.5
320529.5
54949.4
Blue49
50125.5
192223.9
130716.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5255203040607080907649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.6
24.826.3
Auto7.9
Teleop16.7
End5.0
red by 4.0
501
#20
25.50.5
24.323.8
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Second
1721
#28
20.51.6
15.917.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End3.9
blue by 3.4
1922
#26
23.90.9
17.616.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Third
5494
#27
9.41.6
11.513.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.9
blue by 7.4
1307
#29
16.80.5
10.09.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed