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Red64
13829.7
346617.2
124718.7
Blue105
581336.1
237035.1
492518.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5684204010012014064105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#15
29.70.3
25.425.6
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
blue by 6.4
5813
#14
36.11.5
28.830.4
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Second
1247
#32
18.70.3
17.918.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End3.6
blue by 16.4
35.11.5
31.232.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Third
3466
#30
17.20.4
16.917.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.4
End4.2
blue by 1.5
4925
#35
18.62.6
16.819.3
Auto2.4
Teleop14.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed