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Red84
287632.2
13137.9
23727.6
Blue124
88528.8
596228.6
151942.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8892708010011012084124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
37.90.6
35.034.4
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
blue by 4.7
42.61.3
33.935.2
Auto14.9
Teleop22.9
End4.8
Second
32.20.6
27.827.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.5
End4.4
red by 3.4
885
#10
28.81.0
27.828.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.7
End4.3
Third
237
#17
27.60.6
24.724.2
Auto9.8
Teleop12.8
End4.9
blue by 1.1
5962
#11
28.61.0
22.623.6
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed