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Red58
359713.8
50125.5
183126.9
Blue76
455519.2
192223.9
234221.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69562040801001205876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1831
#22
26.90.5
27.927.4
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End5.1
red by 3.0
1922
#26
23.92.4
16.719.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Second
501
#20
25.50.5
23.823.3
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 4.1
2342
#13
21.41.4
19.420.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End3.1
Third
3597
#38
13.80.8
13.712.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 5.4
4555
#33
19.22.4
18.721.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed