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Red70
172120.5
151942.6
563319.6
Blue59
9525.0
454628.4
115334.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598501001502007059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.7
23.725.4
Auto14.9
Teleop22.9
End4.8
red by 8.5
34.01.0
25.524.5
Auto10.2
Teleop17.9
End5.9
Second
1721
#28
20.51.2
14.515.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End3.9
blue by 7.9
4546
#19
28.41.7
19.017.4
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
5633
#39DQ
19.61.7
16.218.0
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.8
blue by 5.5
95
#31
25.01.0
29.528.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed88%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed