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Red61
16622.3
183126.9
234221.4
Blue45
345122.2
581336.1
178616.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7468506080906145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1831
#22
26.90.3
27.527.3
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End5.1
blue by 9.2
5813
#14
36.11.7
29.027.3
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Second
166
#9
22.30.4
18.718.3
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End3.9
red by 0.1
3451
#36
22.22.9
21.218.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.1
End5.0
Third
2342
#13
21.40.2
18.218.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End3.1
red by 4.7
1786
#34
16.81.9
15.413.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed