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Red51
124718.7
492925.7
54949.4
Blue35
346617.2
550620.1
183126.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567102040801001205135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4929
#16
25.70.8
25.724.9
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
blue by 1.2
1831
#22
26.92.2
27.525.3
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End5.1
Second
1247
#32
18.70.8
19.919.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End3.6
blue by 1.4
5506
#37
20.13.2
23.019.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.9
End3.3
Third
5494
#27
9.40.8
11.811.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.9
blue by 7.8
3466
#30
17.23.2
17.814.6
Auto6.5
Teleop6.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed