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Red111
345122.2
13137.9
115334.0
Blue98
581336.1
50922.2
287632.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9192708010011012013011198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
37.91.6
36.237.7
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
red by 1.8
5813
#14
36.10.7
36.237.0
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Second
34.01.6
30.632.2
Auto10.2
Teleop17.9
End5.9
red by 1.8
32.20.7
29.630.4
Auto10.4
Teleop17.5
End4.4
Third
3451
#36
22.22.2
20.923.2
Auto8.1
Teleop9.1
End5.0
blue by 0.1
509
#24
22.20.7
21.322.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed