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Red109
88528.8
21323.9
9520.7
Blue95
346725.9
172919.4
50917.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888405015020025030010995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#9
28.80.4
27.928.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.4
End6.0
red by 2.9
3467
#11
25.90.3
25.625.9
Auto5.2
Teleop16.6
End4.1
Second
213
#6
23.90.4
22.923.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End2.9
red by 4.5
19.40.3
19.119.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Third
95
#17
20.70.4
19.720.2
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
red by 2.8
509
#15
17.80.3
17.517.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End1.7