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Red145
568737.6
490532.8
172114.5
Blue107
81126.1
332318.8
234218.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116820406080100120140160180145107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.4
36.937.3
Auto9.0
Teleop23.5
End5.1
red by 11.5
811
#19
26.10.6
25.526.0
Auto7.4
Teleop11.7
End7.0
Second
32.80.4
32.232.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End5.7
red by 14.1
3323
#10
18.80.6
18.118.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Third
1721
#20
14.50.4
13.814.2
Auto2.1
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 3.7
2342
#18
18.20.6
17.518.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End2.6