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Red98
13359.3
172928.8
21324.1
Blue77
151959.1
173531.6
81130.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131274060801001401601802009877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
Unranked
59.30.0
59.359.3
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
red by 0.2
1519
Unranked
59.10.0
59.159.1
Auto18.6
Teleop35.8
End4.7
Second
1729
Unranked
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
blue by 2.8
1735
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Third
213
Unranked
24.10.0
24.124.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End2.5
blue by 6.4
811
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
25%Capture odds49%Capture odds