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Red113
23841.0
16649.6
568738.4
Blue102
5825.8
176846.2
490634.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13810550150200113102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 3.3
1768
Unranked
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
Second
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
red by 6.6
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
Third
5687
Unranked
38.40.0
38.438.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 12.6
58
Unranked
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
86%Capture odds10%Capture odds