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Qual 162016 Mayhem in Merrimack
Red44
13137.9
172928.8
490634.4
Blue68
107320.2
31942.1
13359.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99130501502004468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
37.90.0
37.9→37.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
blue by 21.5
133
Unranked
59.30.0
59.3→59.3
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
Second
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.4→34.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
blue by 7.7
319
Unranked
42.10.0
42.1→42.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Third
1729
Unranked
28.80.0
28.8→28.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
red by 8.6
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.2→20.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds73%Capture odds