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Qual 172016 Mayhem in Merrimack
Red79
192222.5
105845.4
596230.5
Blue75
568738.4
81130.5
5825.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101980501502002503007975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
Unranked
45.40.0
45.4→45.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
red by 7.0
5687
Unranked
38.40.0
38.4→38.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Second
5962
Unranked
30.50.0
30.5→30.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Level
811
Unranked
30.50.0
30.5→30.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
Third
1922
Unranked
22.50.0
22.5→22.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.4
End3.7
blue by 3.3
58
Unranked
25.80.0
25.8→25.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds28%Capture odds