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Red100
151959.1
346738.6
107320.2
Blue79
31942.1
81130.5
23841.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12411605010015020025010079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
59.10.0
59.159.1
Auto18.6
Teleop35.8
End4.7
red by 17.0
319
Unranked
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
blue by 2.3
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 10.4
811
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
23%Capture odds93%Capture odds