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Red107
596230.5
13359.3
173531.6
Blue90
50125.5
16649.6
454632.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281095015020010790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
Unranked
59.30.0
59.359.3
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
red by 9.8
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
1735
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
blue by 0.7
4546
Unranked
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
Third
5962
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
red by 5.0
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
41%Capture odds8%Capture odds