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Red80
105845.4
13137.9
271327.3
Blue67
172928.8
176846.2
568738.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121184060801001401601802008067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
Unranked
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
blue by 0.9
1768
Unranked
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
Second
131
Unranked
37.90.0
37.937.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
blue by 0.5
5687
Unranked
38.40.0
38.438.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Third
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
blue by 1.5
1729
Unranked
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
18%Capture odds41%Capture odds