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Qual 52016 Mayhem in Merrimack
Red65
16649.6
192222.5
81130.5
Blue115
271327.3
23841.0
13359.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001375015020065115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.6→49.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
blue by 9.8
133
Unranked
59.30.0
59.3→59.3
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
Second
811
Unranked
30.50.0
30.5→30.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
blue by 10.4
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.0→41.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
1922
Unranked
22.50.0
22.5→22.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.4
End3.7
blue by 4.8
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.3→27.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
18%Capture odds83%Capture odds