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Red69
151959.1
5825.8
128920.7
Blue105
176846.2
107320.2
596230.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113985015020069105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
59.10.0
59.159.1
Auto18.6
Teleop35.8
End4.7
red by 12.9
1768
Unranked
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
Second
58
Unranked
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.6
End3.9
blue by 4.8
5962
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Third
1289
Unranked
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End3.9
red by 0.5
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
13%Capture odds7%Capture odds