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Red80
31942.1
21324.1
5825.8
Blue102
173531.6
13137.9
16649.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891285010015020080102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
Unranked
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
blue by 7.5
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
58
Unranked
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.6
End3.9
blue by 12.1
131
Unranked
37.90.0
37.937.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
Third
213
Unranked
24.10.0
24.124.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End2.5
blue by 7.5
1735
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
23%Capture odds24%Capture odds