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Red120
31940.9
581346.0
12547.7
Blue88
490936.2
172928.8
13135.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1469505020025012088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#20
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
red by 11.5
4909
#26
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 10.6
131
#6
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
Third
319
#27
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
red by 12.1
1729
#10
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
94%Capture odds7%Capture odds