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Red87
287631.5
8828.6
151951.9
Blue73
151723.2
568743.9
50125.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119920501502008773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 8.0
5687
#25
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
Second
2876
#17
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
red by 6.0
501
#29
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Third
88
#2
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto7.1
Teleop18.1
End3.4
red by 5.4
1517
#18
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
21%Capture odds2%Capture odds