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Red19
287631.5
19030.8
50125.5
Blue42
446728.4
490936.2
15124.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919120507080901942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#17
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 4.7
4909
#26
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
190
#19
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
red by 2.4
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
Third
501
#29
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 1.3
151
#11
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds76%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds1%Capture odds