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Red61
31940.9
568743.9
13829.7
Blue87
545920.9
581346.0
50922.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123870501001502002506187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#25
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
blue by 2.1
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
319
#27
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
red by 18.6
509
#15
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
138
#12
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
red by 8.9
5459
#16
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
22%Capture odds6%Capture odds