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Red50
50922.2
446728.4
12547.7
Blue80
16649.6
105845.8
151723.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971260501502002503003505080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#20
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
blue by 1.9
166
#5
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
blue by 17.4
1058
#13
45.80.0
45.845.8
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
Third
509
#15
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5
blue by 0.9
1517
#18
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds16%Capture odds