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Qual 82016 RiverRage 20
Red101
107320.2
151951.9
13135.4
Blue117
13829.7
490532.3
19030.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11491050150200250101117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#4
51.90.0
51.9→51.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 19.6
4905
#3
32.30.0
32.3→32.3
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
Second
131
#6
35.40.0
35.4→35.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
red by 4.6
190
#19
30.80.0
30.8→30.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
1073
#23
20.20.0
20.2→20.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 9.6
138
#12
29.70.0
29.7→29.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds10%Capture odds