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Red74
81130.5
128920.7
7839.7
Blue77
581346.0
568743.9
287631.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881320501502002503007477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#22
39.70.0
39.739.7
Auto15.1
Teleop19.1
End5.5
blue by 6.3
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
811
#30
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
blue by 13.3
5687
#25
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
Third
1289
#14
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End3.9
blue by 10.8
2876
#17
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
16%Capture odds46%Capture odds