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Red0
346738.6
17228.9
545920.9
Blue1
172928.8
490936.2
151723.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410805015020001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#28
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
red by 2.4
4909
#26
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
172
#24
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End4.2
red by 0.1
1729
#10
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Third
5459
#16
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.4
blue by 2.3
1517
#18
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2