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Red147
151951.9
107320.2
19030.8
Blue62
15124.2
568743.9
128920.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410605015020025014762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 8.0
5687
#25
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
Second
190
#19
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
red by 6.6
151
#11
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End3.4
Third
1073
#23
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 0.5
1289
#14
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End3.9