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Red55
13135.4
81130.5
287631.5
Blue109
172928.8
490936.2
151723.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410605015020055109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
blue by 0.8
4909
#26
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
2876
#17
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
red by 2.7
1729
#10
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Third
811
#30
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
red by 7.4
1517
#18
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2