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Red162
2544.9
125736.8
334019.5
Blue114
314229.5
198932.5
127926.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14010250150200162114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
44.90.2
45.345.5
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.6
red by 12.4
1989
#11
32.50.1
32.432.5
Auto9.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Second
36.80.2
37.137.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
red by 7.2
3142
#27
29.50.1
29.429.5
Auto6.4
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Third
3340
#18
19.50.2
19.519.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 6.9
1279
#20
26.40.1
26.326.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End4.0