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Red126
2544.9
125736.8
334019.5
Blue177
331436.2
19336.4
428120.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139109050200250126177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
44.90.3
45.545.2
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.6
red by 8.5
193
#5
36.40.7
36.136.7
Auto9.6
Teleop21.1
End5.7
Second
36.80.3
37.437.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
red by 0.6
3314
#12
36.20.7
35.836.5
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End5.7
Third
3340
#18
19.50.3
19.719.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 1.3
4281
#24
20.80.7
20.521.1
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End2.7