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Red177
2544.9
125736.8
55522.2
Blue99
331436.2
19336.4
428120.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14211105020025030017799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
44.90.3
45.245.5
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.6
red by 8.5
193
#5
36.40.3
36.736.4
Auto9.6
Teleop21.1
End5.7
Second
36.80.3
37.137.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
red by 0.6
3314
#12
36.20.3
36.536.2
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End5.7
Third
555
#14
22.20.3
22.622.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End4.1
red by 1.4
4281
#24
20.80.3
21.120.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End2.7