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Red157
331436.2
19336.4
428120.8
Blue121
589533.8
162631.3
61321.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131040200300400157121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#5
36.40.5
35.435.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.1
End5.7
red by 2.6
33.80.3
33.934.2
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End3.4
Second
3314
#12
36.20.5
35.135.6
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 4.9
31.30.3
31.431.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.0
End5.5
Third
4281
#24
20.80.5
19.720.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 1.1
613
#23
21.90.3
22.022.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End3.2