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Red74
589533.8
601518.2
7527.2
Blue97
61321.9
331436.2
127926.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858340601001201407497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.0
34.933.9
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End3.4
blue by 2.4
3314
#12
36.20.7
34.435.1
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End5.7
Second
75
#15
27.20.9
28.227.3
Auto9.0
Teleop14.7
End3.5
red by 0.8
1279
#20
26.40.7
25.526.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End4.0
Third
6015
#31
18.20.9
19.118.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
blue by 3.7
613
#23
21.90.7
21.322.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed