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Red79
562433.2
86939.6
257717.7
Blue96
125736.8
181133.1
21930.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768840601001201407996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#13
39.60.2
31.832.0
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End9.4
red by 2.8
36.80.8
30.431.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
Second
5624
#17
33.20.2
29.529.7
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End4.1
red by 0.1
33.10.8
28.429.2
Auto6.7
Teleop22.6
End3.8
Third
2577
#33
17.70.2
14.414.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End3.1
blue by 12.8
219
#7
30.50.8
25.025.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned