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Red79
61321.9
447513.4
181133.1
Blue84
125736.8
428120.8
127926.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507402040601001201407984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.11.8
29.231.0
Auto6.7
Teleop22.6
End3.8
blue by 3.6
36.81.0
31.232.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
Second
613
#23
21.91.8
17.018.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End3.2
blue by 4.5
1279
#20
26.41.0
22.723.7
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End4.0
Third
4475
#28
13.41.8
6.28.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
blue by 7.4
4281
#24
20.81.0
14.915.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed