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Red68
167214.5
562433.2
218017.4
Blue95
573211.5
314229.5
86939.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6260203040507080901006895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5624
#17
33.20.2
29.729.9
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End4.1
blue by 6.3
869
#13
39.62.5
32.034.5
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End9.4
Second
2180
#37
17.40.2
17.117.4
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End3.0
blue by 12.1
3142
#27
29.52.5
16.619.1
Auto6.4
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Third
1672
#36
14.50.4
13.013.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End1.5
red by 3.0
5732
#34
11.52.5
9.612.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed