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Red52
257717.7
601622.5
601518.2
Blue99
198932.5
403516.1
589533.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52533040607080905299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6016
#35
22.50.0
21.321.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.9
End2.9
blue by 11.3
33.827.3
46.318.9
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End3.4
Second
6015
#31
18.20.0
16.216.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
blue by 14.3
1989
#11
32.53.3
21.624.9
Auto9.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Third
2577
#33
17.70.0
14.614.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End3.1
red by 1.6
4035
#25
16.12.0
12.214.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed